Election 2010 - Know your Cell phone Effect

According to studies by the Pew Research Center, there is a "cell phone effect" that should prompt voters to question the validity of early Election 2010 outcomes. As the New York Times puts it, about a quarter of American adults use mobile phones exclusively. This discrepancy can throw off poll outcomes by as much as four points, writes the Times. Article resource – What the cell phone effect means to Election 2010 by Personal Money Store.

Cell phone Effect helps out democrats

Cell phone-only voters are usually younger adults who are Caucasian and live in urban areas. They also made the term "cell phone effect" essential, Pew Research reports. This tends to be a more democratic group. That's what the demographics show. That means Democrats could possibly be as much as four points nearer to the top than they appear.

Is this just a prejudice though?

Polls conducted without cell phones by Pew showed Republicans to be ahead by 9.3 points on average. The Cell phone Effect may be part of that when the anger people have with unemployment and the housing sector with the Obama administration can be there too. From time to time cell phones are included. In this case, the swing isn't there as much which makes people believe that it is more about the Cell phone Effect than anything else. Pew will look more at the Election 2010 data. This will occur when outcomes have come in though.

Finding bias among those regarded probably to vote

Pew Research explains that those most likely to vote in Election 2010 have a prejudice. There was one poll that only used land line/cell phones. A seven point Republican lead had been shown there. 43 percent were for Democrats when the GOP candidates were supported by half. There was a land line only poll done too, shows Pew Research. This shows us that a 12-point lead had been what republicans had.

Citations

New York Times

fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/01/5-reasons-democrats-could-beat-the-polls-and-hold-the-house/

Pew Research Center

pewresearch.org/pubs/1761/cell-phones-and-election-polls-2010-midterm-elections

How the cell phone effect helped Obama in 2008

youtube.com/watch?v=KMmvo73EZHc